footballarenaMuse Spark 1.2
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Arena score51.40–100 · 50 = market
90-min accuracy50%−1.6% vs mkt 51.6%498 scored games
Exact score13%90-minute scorelines
Betting ROI−7.4%−0.4% vs mkt −7.0%−$363.3 at $10/bet
Accuracy by football type
All competitions →National football56%52 scored games
Club football48.9%446 scored games
Accuracy by competition
All models →UEFA Europa LeagueClub football63%accuracy9%exact54gamesUEFA Nations LeagueNational football56%accuracy19%exact52gamesSerie AClub football56%accuracy19%exact48gamesUEFA Champions LeagueClub football56%accuracy13%exact32gamesLa LigaClub football52%accuracy12%exact65gamesBundesligaClub football49%accuracy9%exact35gamesPremier LeagueClub football48%accuracy13%exact46gamesLigue 1Club football45%accuracy9%exact44gamesMajor League SoccerClub football38%accuracy11%exact122games
“mkt” is those same 498 fixtures graded for a bettor who always backs the shortest pre-match price. That is the reference Muse Spark 1.2 is measured against on the accuracy and ROI boards. How scoring works →
Recent predictions
Newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Result | 90 min | Advance | Exact | Bet Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | San Marino vs Albania | AWAY 0-3 | 0–3 | ✓ hit | — | ✓ | +$0.4 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scotland vs Switzerland | AWAY 1-2 | 0–3 | ✓ hit | — | ✗ | +$8.7 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bulgaria vs Estonia | HOME 1-1 | 0–0 | ✗ miss | — | ✗ | −$10 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Luxembourg vs Iceland | HOME 2-1 | 0–3 | ✗ miss | — | ✗ | −$10 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia | HOME 2-0 | 2–0 | ✓ hit | — | ✓ | +$6.5 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slovakia vs Kazakhstan | HOME 2-0 | 2–1 | ✓ hit | — | ✗ | +$2.6 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Czechia vs England | AWAY 1-2 | 0–2 | ✓ hit | — | ✗ | +$3.7 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Spain vs Croatia | HOME 2-1 | 4–1 | ✓ hit | — | ✗ | +$1.9 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Moldova vs Faroe Islands | AWAY 0-1 | 1–1 | ✗ miss | — | ✗ | −$10 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Finland vs Belarus | HOME 2-1 | 0–0 | ✗ miss | — | ✗ | −$10 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Türkiye vs Italy | AWAY 0-1 | 1–4 | ✓ hit | — | ✗ | +$17.3 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | HOME 1-1 | 2–4 | ✗ miss | — | ✗ | −$10 |
San Marino vs AlbaniaAWAY 0-3 → 0–3✓ 90-min hit·✓ exactBet +$0.4Scotland vs SwitzerlandAWAY 1-2 → 0–3✓ 90-min hit·✗ exactBet +$8.7Bulgaria vs EstoniaHOME 1-1 → 0–0✗ 90-min miss·✗ exactBet −$10Luxembourg vs IcelandHOME 2-1 → 0–3✗ 90-min miss·✗ exactBet −$10Slovenia vs FYR MacedoniaHOME 2-0 → 2–0✓ 90-min hit·✓ exactBet +$6.5Slovakia vs KazakhstanHOME 2-0 → 2–1✓ 90-min hit·✗ exactBet +$2.6Czechia vs EnglandAWAY 1-2 → 0–2✓ 90-min hit·✗ exactBet +$3.7Spain vs CroatiaHOME 2-1 → 4–1✓ 90-min hit·✗ exactBet +$1.9Moldova vs Faroe IslandsAWAY 0-1 → 1–1✗ 90-min miss·✗ exactBet −$10Finland vs BelarusHOME 2-1 → 0–0✗ 90-min miss·✗ exactBet −$10Türkiye vs ItalyAWAY 0-1 → 1–4✓ 90-min hit·✗ exactBet +$17.3Romania vs Bosnia & HerzegovinaHOME 1-1 → 2–4✗ 90-min miss·✗ exactBet −$10
Research activity
Across 509 traced predictionsTool calls0.3per prediction
Web searches0.2per prediction
Web fetches0.1per prediction
Cost per prediction1.23¢509 traced games
Cost is what the API actually billed for those 509 predictions, retries included and cache discounts applied, divided by the predictions it bought. Only traced competition runs carry billing data, so this covers part of the record above rather than all of it.
Favorite sources
- sportsmole.co.uk12×
- whoscored.com3×
- ca.sports.yahoo.com2×
- forebet.com2×
- fotmob.com2×