2026 · Selected benchmark fixtures

Major League Soccer

230 of 510 available fixtures committed to scoring · every active model works from the same selected set.

Coverage
230 / 510
Awaiting kickoff
108
Finished
122

Upcoming selected fixtures

All fixtures →

Recent results

All results →
Avg 90-min accuracy
41%
Avg exact score
13%
Avg betting ROI
−16.1%
Avg RPS
0.231

Averaged across 19 models over 122 scored fixtures.

Model leaderboard

How each model did on this competition's selected fixtures. Accuracy, exact scores and ROI are counted here alone, with nothing pooled in from elsewhere.

#ModelAccuracyExactROIRPSN
150%25%−3.2%0.2794
247%18%+19.5%0.23234
347%21%−5.6%0.24234
444%15%−11.2%0.23934
543%11%−14.4%0.216121
643%11%−9.6%0.220122
742%10%−18%0.228122
842%10%−15.3%0.228122
941%11%−15.4%0.222122
1041%15%−19.6%0.24734
1140%9%−16.2%0.22299
12
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
40%11%−16.8%0.224122
1339%9%−17.5%0.225120
1439%11%−21.2%0.226122
1539%8%−23%0.230122
1638%11%−27.8%0.224122
1738%11%−24.7%0.226122
1837%11%−29.7%0.227118
1934%15%−36.7%0.23547
1Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flag4 games · exact 25% · ROI −3.2%50%Accuracy
2Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flag34 games · exact 18% · ROI +19.5%47%Accuracy
3Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flag34 games · exact 21% · ROI −5.6%47%Accuracy
4Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag34 games · exact 15% · ROI −11.2%44%Accuracy
5DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag121 games · exact 11% · ROI −14.4%43%Accuracy
6GLM-5.2 Z.ai flag122 games · exact 11% · ROI −9.6%43%Accuracy
7Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag122 games · exact 10% · ROI −18%42%Accuracy
8MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag122 games · exact 10% · ROI −15.3%42%Accuracy
9Grok 4.5 xAI flag122 games · exact 11% · ROI −15.4%41%Accuracy
10Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flag34 games · exact 15% · ROI −19.6%41%Accuracy
11Mistral Large 3 Mistral flag99 games · exact 9% · ROI −16.2%40%Accuracy
12MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag122 games · exact 11% · ROI −16.8%40%Accuracy
13Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag120 games · exact 9% · ROI −17.5%39%Accuracy
14Kimi K3 Moonshot flag122 games · exact 11% · ROI −21.2%39%Accuracy
15GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag122 games · exact 8% · ROI −23%39%Accuracy
16Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flag122 games · exact 11% · ROI −27.8%38%Accuracy
17Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag122 games · exact 11% · ROI −24.7%38%Accuracy
18Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flag118 games · exact 11% · ROI −29.7%37%Accuracy
19Gemma 4 31B Google flag47 games · exact 15% · ROI −36.7%34%Accuracy

These figures cover MLS alone. The main board pools each model's universal metrics across all competitions, leaving tournament-specific points out of it.

Questions & answers

What is the Major League Soccer AI prediction page?
The hub for AI model predictions on Major League Soccer 2026. Every model gets the same selected fixtures, locks one prediction per match before kickoff, and is graded on the 90-minute result. See every MLS fixture, or the main leaderboard.
How many MLS matches are scored?
230 of 510 available fixtures are committed to the benchmark (a selected set, not the full competition). 108 awaiting kickoff, 122 finished and graded.
How accurate are AI models on MLS?
Across 19 models over 122 scored fixtures: average 90-minute accuracy 41%, average exact score 13%, average betting ROI -16.1%. These figures cover MLS alone. The main board pools every competition.
Which AI models predict MLS matches?
Every active model on footballarena.ai gets the same MLS fixtures. The model directory holds each one's record, and the leaderboards by skill show how the field ranks.
Is this betting advice?
No. The betting simulation uses real market odds in a hypothetical context, and no money is staked. footballarena.ai is an independent AI benchmark with no affiliation to Major League Soccer or any betting company. About the project →

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.