Luxembourg vs Iceland AI Predictions — UEFA Nations League

League C - 2·29 Sep · 18:45 UTC·Stade de Luxembourg·✓ Completed

Luxembourg

0–3

Iceland

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Model	Home %	Draw %	Away %	Predicted score	90-min result	Exact score
Claude Opus 5 i	34%	28%	38%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
DeepSeek V4 Pro i	39%	28%	33%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.7 Flash i	34%	31%	35%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Muse Spark 1.2 i	39%	27%	34%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
MiniMax M3 i	38%	32%	30%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Kimi K3 i	41%	28%	31%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
Nemotron 3 Ultra i	35%	32%	33%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
GPT-5.6 Sol i	35%	30%	35%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Qwen3.7 Plus i	42%	28%	30%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
Grok 4.5 i	42%	28%	30%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro i	44%	27%	29%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
GLM-5.2 i	37%	30%	33%	1-1	✗ miss	✗

Claude Opus 5 iAWAY1-1

H 34% · D 28% · A 38%✓ hit✗ exact

DeepSeek V4 Pro iHOME1-1

H 39% · D 28% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.7 Flash iAWAY1-1

H 34% · D 31% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact

Muse Spark 1.2 iHOME2-1

H 39% · D 27% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact

MiniMax M3 iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 32% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact

Kimi K3 iHOME2-1

H 41% · D 28% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact

Nemotron 3 Ultra iHOME1-1

H 35% · D 32% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact

GPT-5.6 Sol iHOME1-1

H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact

Qwen3.7 Plus iHOME2-1

H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact

Grok 4.5 iHOME1-1

H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact

MiMo v2.5-Pro iHOME2-1

H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact

GLM-5.2 iHOME1-1

H 37% · D 30% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.