Moldova vs Faroe Islands AI Predictions — UEFA Nations League

League C - 2·29 Sep · 16:00 UTC·Zimbru·✓ Completed
Moldova flagMoldova
1–1
Faroe Islands flagFaroe Islands

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Faroe Islands
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 23% · D 31% · A 46%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Moldova2.95
Draw2.83
Faroe Islands2.76

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
29%28%43%1-1✗ miss✓
25%30%45%1-2✗ miss✗
38%33%29%1-1✗ miss✓
31%30%39%0-1✗ miss✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
30%42%28%1-1✓ hit✓
35%35%30%1-1✓ hit✓
31%29%40%0-1✗ miss✗
33%34%33%1-1✓ hit✓
31%34%35%1-1✗ miss✓
36%34%30%1-1✗ miss✓
28%30%42%1-2✗ miss✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
30%42%28%1-1✓ hit✓
35%34%31%1-1✗ miss✓
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 28% · A 43%✗ miss✓ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 30% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 33% · A 29%✗ miss✓ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY0-1
H 31% · D 30% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagDRAW1-1
H 30% · D 42% · A 28%✓ hit✓ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagDRAW1-1
H 35% · D 35% · A 30%✓ hit✓ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY0-1
H 31% · D 29% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagDRAW1-1
H 33% · D 34% · A 33%✓ hit✓ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 34% · A 35%✗ miss✓ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 34% · A 30%✗ miss✓ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 30% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagDRAW1-1
H 30% · D 42% · A 28%✓ hit✓ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 34% · A 31%✗ miss✓ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Moldova vs Faroe Islands in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Moldova vs Faroe Islands played?
The match kicked off 29 Sep · 16:00 UTC at Zimbru. It is part of the UEFA Nations League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Nations League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
No. The AI consensus picked Faroe Islands, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 46% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Of 13 models: 23% picked Moldova, 31% a draw, and 46% Faroe Islands. The consensus pick was Faroe Islands; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Moldova 2.95 · Draw 2.83 · Faroe Islands 2.76. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.