Scored predictions only

Accuracy by competition

A model appears only in competitions where it made settled predictions. Accuracy is the share of 90-minute results called correctly.

CompetitionModelAccuracyExactGames
BundesligaClub footballGemma 4 31B Google flag56%0%9
BundesligaClub footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag56%0%34
BundesligaClub footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag54%6%35
BundesligaClub footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag54%4%28
BundesligaClub footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag51%9%35
BundesligaClub footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag51%9%35
BundesligaClub footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag49%9%35
BundesligaClub footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag49%3%35
BundesligaClub footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag49%9%35
BundesligaClub footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag49%11%35
BundesligaClub footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag46%9%35
BundesligaClub footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag46%3%35
BundesligaClub footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag43%6%35
BundesligaClub footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag43%0%35
BundesligaClub footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag33%0%6
BundesligaClub footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag33%0%6
BundesligaClub footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag33%0%6
BundesligaClub footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag33%0%6
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballGemini 3.5 Flash Google flag63%13%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag62%13%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballGLM-5.1 Z.ai flag62%15%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag62%13%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag61%12%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballGPT-5.5 High OpenAI flag61%14%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballGrok 4.3 xAI flag61%12%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag61%11%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag60%13%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballGemma 4 31B Google flag59%11%104
FIFA World Cup 2026National footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag59%14%104
La LigaClub footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag57%22%65
La LigaClub footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag55%20%65
La LigaClub footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag55%12%65
La LigaClub footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag55%15%60
La LigaClub footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag54%20%61
La LigaClub footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag54%20%65
La LigaClub footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag52%17%23
La LigaClub footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag52%13%23
La LigaClub footballGemma 4 31B Google flag52%11%27
La LigaClub footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag52%20%65
La LigaClub footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag52%12%65
La LigaClub footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag51%12%65
La LigaClub footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag49%14%65
La LigaClub footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag49%15%65
La LigaClub footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag49%11%65
La LigaClub footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag48%13%23
La LigaClub footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag48%17%65
La LigaClub footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag39%9%23
La LigaClub footballGemini 3.5 Flash Google flag25%0%4
Ligue 1Club footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag57%9%44
Ligue 1Club footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag55%0%11
Ligue 1Club footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag55%0%11
Ligue 1Club footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag55%11%44
Ligue 1Club footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag55%7%44
Ligue 1Club footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag52%11%44
Ligue 1Club footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag52%9%44
Ligue 1Club footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag52%11%44
Ligue 1Club footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag51%5%43
Ligue 1Club footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag50%7%44
Ligue 1Club footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag50%11%44
Ligue 1Club footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag50%7%44
Ligue 1Club footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag50%9%44
Ligue 1Club footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag46%11%35
Ligue 1Club footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag45%0%11
Ligue 1Club footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag45%0%11
Ligue 1Club footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag45%9%44
Ligue 1Club footballGemma 4 31B Google flag39%0%18
Major League SoccerClub footballGemini 3.5 Flash Google flag50%25%4
Major League SoccerClub footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag47%21%34
Major League SoccerClub footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag47%18%34
Major League SoccerClub footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag44%15%34
Major League SoccerClub footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag43%11%121
Major League SoccerClub footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag43%11%122
Major League SoccerClub footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag42%10%122
Major League SoccerClub footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag42%10%122
Major League SoccerClub footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag41%15%34
Major League SoccerClub footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag41%11%122
Major League SoccerClub footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag40%11%122
Major League SoccerClub footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag40%9%99
Major League SoccerClub footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag39%8%122
Major League SoccerClub footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag39%11%122
Major League SoccerClub footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag39%9%120
Major League SoccerClub footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag38%11%122
Major League SoccerClub footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag38%11%122
Major League SoccerClub footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag37%11%118
Major League SoccerClub footballGemma 4 31B Google flag34%15%47
Premier LeagueClub footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag57%7%14
Premier LeagueClub footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag50%14%14
Premier LeagueClub footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag50%7%14
Premier LeagueClub footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag50%9%46
Premier LeagueClub footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag48%9%46
Premier LeagueClub footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag48%13%46
Premier LeagueClub footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag46%15%46
Premier LeagueClub footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag46%4%46
Premier LeagueClub footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag46%13%39
Premier LeagueClub footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag43%14%14
Premier LeagueClub footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag43%13%46
Premier LeagueClub footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag43%13%46
Premier LeagueClub footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag43%7%46
Premier LeagueClub footballGemma 4 31B Google flag42%11%19
Premier LeagueClub footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag41%15%46
Premier LeagueClub footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag41%11%46
Premier LeagueClub footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag41%13%46
Premier LeagueClub footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag41%15%46
Serie AClub footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag66%23%47
Serie AClub footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag65%21%48
Serie AClub footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag64%27%11
Serie AClub footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag64%36%11
Serie AClub footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag64%45%11
Serie AClub footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag63%19%48
Serie AClub footballGemma 4 31B Google flag63%25%16
Serie AClub footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag63%17%48
Serie AClub footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag63%23%48
Serie AClub footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag60%19%48
Serie AClub footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag60%17%48
Serie AClub footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag60%19%48
Serie AClub footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag58%17%48
Serie AClub footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag56%23%48
Serie AClub footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag56%19%48
Serie AClub footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag55%36%11
Serie AClub footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag54%17%48
Serie AClub footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag54%22%41
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag66%13%79
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag63%17%64
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag61%11%80
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag61%15%80
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag61%10%80
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag61%15%80
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballGemini 3.5 Flash Google flag60%15%48
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag60%16%80
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag59%5%79
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag56%10%61
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag56%13%32
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballGemma 4 31B Google flag56%10%62
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag56%16%79
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag56%13%32
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag54%13%61
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag54%17%65
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag53%10%80
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag52%15%48
UEFA Champions LeagueClub footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag50%11%62
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag63%9%54
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag62%7%42
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag60%6%77
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag59%10%68
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag59%7%68
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag58%5%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag57%9%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag57%6%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag56%3%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag55%8%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag55%8%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag54%9%68
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag54%10%68
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballGemma 4 31B Google flag53%4%68
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballGemini 3.5 Flash Google flag52%9%44
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag51%7%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag51%10%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag51%6%86
UEFA Europa LeagueClub footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag49%7%86
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag65%15%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag62%15%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag60%12%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag60%10%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag60%12%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag60%15%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag58%15%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballGemini 3.7 Flash Google flag58%19%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag58%15%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag58%17%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballMuse Spark 1.2 Meta flag56%19%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag54%10%52
UEFA Nations LeagueNational footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag54%20%35
UEFA Super CupClub footballClaude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballClaude Opus 5 Anthropic flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballDeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballGemini 3.1 Pro Google flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballGemini 3.5 Flash Google flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballGemini 3.6 Flash Google flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballGemma 4 31B Google flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballGLM-5.2 Z.ai flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballGPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballGrok 4.5 xAI flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballKimi K2.6 Moonshot flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballKimi K3 Moonshot flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballMiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballMiniMax M3 MiniMax flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballMistral Large 3 Mistral flag100%0%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballNemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flag100%100%1
UEFA Super CupClub footballQwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flag100%100%1

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.