Türkiye vs Italy AI Predictions — UEFA Nations League

League A - 2·28 Sep · 18:45 UTC·Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu·✓ Completed
Türkiye flagTürkiye
1–4
Italy flagItaly

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Italy
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
0-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 8% · D 8% · A 85%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Türkiye2.65
Draw3.46
Italy2.73

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
28%27%45%1-1✓ hit✗
26%25%49%0-1✓ hit✗
25%28%47%0-1✓ hit✗
26%27%47%0-1✓ hit✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
28%30%42%0-1✓ hit✗
30%35%35%1-1✗ miss✗
22%27%51%0-1✓ hit✗
38%30%32%1-1✗ miss✗
22%29%49%0-1✓ hit✗
24%28%48%0-1✓ hit✗
28%27%45%1-2✓ hit✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
30%28%42%0-1✓ hit✗
22%26%52%0-1✓ hit✗
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY0-1
H 26% · D 25% · A 49%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY0-1
H 25% · D 28% · A 47%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY0-1
H 26% · D 27% · A 47%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY0-1
H 28% · D 30% · A 42%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagDRAW1-1
H 30% · D 35% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY0-1
H 22% · D 27% · A 51%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY0-1
H 22% · D 29% · A 49%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY0-1
H 24% · D 28% · A 48%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY0-1
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY0-1
H 22% · D 26% · A 52%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Türkiye vs Italy?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Türkiye vs Italy in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Türkiye vs Italy played?
The match kicked off 28 Sep · 18:45 UTC at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu. It is part of the UEFA Nations League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Nations League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Türkiye vs Italy?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Italy, and the match finished 1–4. 8% of 13 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Türkiye vs Italy?
Of 13 models: 8% picked Türkiye, 8% a draw, and 85% Italy. The consensus pick was Italy; the most-backed exact score was 0-1.
What were the betting odds for Türkiye vs Italy?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Türkiye 2.65 · Draw 3.46 · Italy 2.73. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Türkiye vs Italy?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.