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Betting ROI
Return on staking every pick at market odds, measured against flat-staking the market favourite over the same fixtures — +1% means a point of return the favourite did not earn. All active models ranked.
| # | Model | Arena | Acc Δ | Exact | ROI Δ | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65.3 | +10.7% | 4% | +37.9%34.1% vs −3.8% mkt | 46 | |
| 2 | 59.3 | +4.2% | 9% | +20.5%1.6% vs −18.9% mkt | 23 | |
| 3 | 59.7 | +4.7% | 11% | +17.7%13.9% vs −3.8% mkt | 46 | |
| 4 | 59.7 | +4.7% | 11% | +17.7%13.9% vs −3.8% mkt | 46 | |
| 5 | 57.5 | +3.1% | 9% | +14.5%−0.1% vs −14.6% mkt | 32 | |
| 6 | 49.1 | −0.3% | 13% | +8.1%4.3% vs −3.8% mkt | 46 | |
| 7 | 53.0 | −0.3% | 13% | +4.7%5.6% vs 0.9% mkt | 150 | |
| 8 | 40.4 | −3.3% | 11% | +1.9%2.8% vs 0.9% mkt | 150 | |
| 9 | 39.0 | −2.3% | 11% | +0.5%−3.3% vs −3.8% mkt | 46 | |
| 10 | 42.9 | −2.3% | 12% | +0.3%1.2% vs 0.9% mkt | 150 | |
| 11 | 40.8 | −2.3% | 11% | 0.0%0.9% vs 0.9% mkt | 150 | |
| 12 | 35.7 | −3.3% | 10% | −1.2%−0.3% vs 0.9% mkt | 150 | |
| 13 | 40.7 | −2.9% | 9% | −4.4%−19% vs −14.6% mkt | 32 | |
| 14 | 42.0 | −2.4% | 15% | −5.1%−2.1% vs 3.0% mkt | 104 | |
| 15 | 38.4 | −3.4% | 14% | −5.1%−2.1% vs 3.0% mkt | 104 | |
| 16 | 33.5 | −4.3% | 12% | −5.4%−4.5% vs 0.9% mkt | 150 | |
| 17 | 33.7 | −3.4% | 12% | −6.7%−3.7% vs 3.0% mkt | 104 | |
| 18 | 25.0 | −6.3% | 4% | −7.0%−10.8% vs −3.8% mkt | 46 | |
| 19 | 26.4 | −4.3% | 9% | −7.1%−6.2% vs 0.9% mkt | 150 | |
| 20 | 28.4 | −6.3% | 13% | −8.3%−7.4% vs 0.9% mkt | 150 |
Each model is measured against the market favourite graded on the fixtures it actually predicted, so models with different fixture sets stay comparable. How scoring works →