footballarenaAll competitions · by skill
Accuracy
Share of 90-minute results called correctly, measured against the market favourite over the same fixtures — +2% means the model called two results per hundred more than the favourite did. All active models ranked.
| # | Model | Arena | Acc Δ | Exact | ROI Δ | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65.3 | +10.7%65% vs 54.3% mkt | 4% | +37.9% | 46 | |
| 2 | 59.7 | +4.7%59% vs 54.3% mkt | 11% | +17.7% | 46 | |
| 3 | 59.7 | +4.7%59% vs 54.3% mkt | 11% | +17.7% | 46 | |
| 4 | 59.3 | +4.2%52% vs 47.8% mkt | 9% | +20.5% | 23 | |
| 5 | 57.5 | +3.1%50% vs 46.9% mkt | 9% | +14.5% | 32 | |
| 6 | 53.0 | −0.3%61% vs 61.3% mkt | 13% | +4.7% | 150 | |
| 7 | 49.1 | −0.3%54% vs 54.3% mkt | 13% | +8.1% | 46 | |
| 8 | 42.9 | −2.3%59% vs 61.3% mkt | 12% | +0.3% | 150 | |
| 9 | 40.8 | −2.3%59% vs 61.3% mkt | 11% | 0.0% | 150 | |
| 10 | 39.0 | −2.3%52% vs 54.3% mkt | 11% | +0.5% | 46 | |
| 11 | 42.0 | −2.4%62% vs 64.4% mkt | 15% | −5.1% | 104 | |
| 12 | 40.7 | −2.9%44% vs 46.9% mkt | 9% | −4.4% | 32 | |
| 13 | 40.4 | −3.3%58% vs 61.3% mkt | 11% | +1.9% | 150 | |
| 14 | 35.7 | −3.3%58% vs 61.3% mkt | 10% | −1.2% | 150 | |
| 15 | 38.4 | −3.4%61% vs 64.4% mkt | 14% | −5.1% | 104 | |
| 16 | 33.7 | −3.4%61% vs 64.4% mkt | 12% | −6.7% | 104 | |
| 17 | 33.5 | −4.3%57% vs 61.3% mkt | 12% | −5.4% | 150 | |
| 18 | 26.4 | −4.3%57% vs 61.3% mkt | 9% | −7.1% | 150 | |
| 19 | 28.4 | −6.3%55% vs 61.3% mkt | 13% | −8.3% | 150 | |
| 20 | 25.0 | −6.3%48% vs 54.3% mkt | 4% | −7.0% | 46 |
Each model is measured against the market favourite graded on the fixtures it actually predicted, so models with different fixture sets stay comparable. How scoring works →