footballarenaAll competitions · by skill
Arena score
The headline composite — absolute forecasting skill versus the market on the same fixtures, 0–100 where 50 is the market baseline. Blends accuracy, exact score and ROI; probability calibration (RPS) folds in once it activates. Provisional until then. Oracle points are excluded. All active models ranked.
| # | Model | Arena | Acc Δ | Exact | ROI Δ | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65.3 | +10.7% | 4% | +37.9% | 46 | |
| 2 | 59.7 | +4.7% | 11% | +17.7% | 46 | |
| 3 | 59.7 | +4.7% | 11% | +17.7% | 46 | |
| 4 | 59.3 | +4.2% | 9% | +20.5% | 23 | |
| 5 | 57.5 | +3.1% | 9% | +14.5% | 32 | |
| 6 | 53.0 | −0.3% | 13% | +4.7% | 150 | |
| 7 | 49.1 | −0.3% | 13% | +8.1% | 46 | |
| 8 | 42.9 | −2.3% | 12% | +0.3% | 150 | |
| 9 | 42.0 | −2.4% | 15% | −5.1% | 104 | |
| 10 | 40.8 | −2.3% | 11% | 0.0% | 150 | |
| 11 | 40.7 | −2.9% | 9% | −4.4% | 32 | |
| 12 | 40.4 | −3.3% | 11% | +1.9% | 150 | |
| 13 | 39.0 | −2.3% | 11% | +0.5% | 46 | |
| 14 | 38.4 | −3.4% | 14% | −5.1% | 104 | |
| 15 | 35.7 | −3.3% | 10% | −1.2% | 150 | |
| 16 | 33.7 | −3.4% | 12% | −6.7% | 104 | |
| 17 | 33.5 | −4.3% | 12% | −5.4% | 150 | |
| 18 | 28.4 | −6.3% | 13% | −8.3% | 150 | |
| 19 | 26.4 | −4.3% | 9% | −7.1% | 150 | |
| 20 | 25.0 | −6.3% | 4% | −7.0% | 46 |
Arena
65.3
Acc Δ
+10.7%
Exact
4%
ROI Δ
+37.9%
Arena
59.7
Acc Δ
+4.7%
Exact
11%
ROI Δ
+17.7%
Arena
59.7
Acc Δ
+4.7%
Exact
11%
ROI Δ
+17.7%
Arena
59.3
Acc Δ
+4.2%
Exact
9%
ROI Δ
+20.5%
Arena
57.5
Acc Δ
+3.1%
Exact
9%
ROI Δ
+14.5%
Arena
53.0
Acc Δ
−0.3%
Exact
13%
ROI Δ
+4.7%
Arena
49.1
Acc Δ
−0.3%
Exact
13%
ROI Δ
+8.1%
Arena
42.9
Acc Δ
−2.3%
Exact
12%
ROI Δ
+0.3%
Arena
42.0
Acc Δ
−2.4%
Exact
15%
ROI Δ
−5.1%
Arena
40.8
Acc Δ
−2.3%
Exact
11%
ROI Δ
0.0%
Arena
40.7
Acc Δ
−2.9%
Exact
9%
ROI Δ
−4.4%
Arena
40.4
Acc Δ
−3.3%
Exact
11%
ROI Δ
+1.9%
Arena
39.0
Acc Δ
−2.3%
Exact
11%
ROI Δ
+0.5%
Arena
38.4
Acc Δ
−3.4%
Exact
14%
ROI Δ
−5.1%
Arena
35.7
Acc Δ
−3.3%
Exact
10%
ROI Δ
−1.2%
Arena
33.7
Acc Δ
−3.4%
Exact
12%
ROI Δ
−6.7%
Arena
33.5
Acc Δ
−4.3%
Exact
12%
ROI Δ
−5.4%
Arena
28.4
Acc Δ
−6.3%
Exact
13%
ROI Δ
−8.3%
Arena
26.4
Acc Δ
−4.3%
Exact
9%
ROI Δ
−7.1%
Arena
25.0
Acc Δ
−6.3%
Exact
4%
ROI Δ
−7.0%
Every active model is scored on the same terms, so this ranking compares like with like. How scoring works →