Sturm Graz vs Rennes AI Predictions — UEFA Europa League

League Stage - 1·16 Sep · 19:00 UTC·Merkur Arena·✓ Completed
Sturm Graz flagSturm Graz
0–0
Rennes flagRennes

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Rennes
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 8% · D 8% · A 85%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Sturm Graz3.62
Draw3.97
Rennes1.91

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
34%27%39%1-1✗ miss✗
28%33%39%0-1✗ miss✗
29%28%43%1-2✗ miss✗
33%29%38%1-1✗ miss✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
32%30%38%1-1✗ miss✗
30%35%35%1-1✓ hit✗
30%26%44%1-2✗ miss✗
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss✗
29%29%42%1-1✗ miss✗
27%28%45%1-1✗ miss✗
26%28%46%1-1✗ miss✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss✗
27%28%45%1-2✗ miss✗
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 27% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY0-1
H 28% · D 33% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 29% · D 28% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 29% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 30% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagDRAW1-1
H 30% · D 35% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 26% · A 44%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 29% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 27% · D 28% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-1
H 26% · D 28% · A 46%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 28% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Sturm Graz vs Rennes in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Sturm Graz vs Rennes played?
The match kicked off 16 Sep · 19:00 UTC at Merkur Arena. It is part of the UEFA Europa League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Europa League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
No. The AI consensus picked Rennes, but the match finished 0–0 — a draw. 85% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
Of 13 models: 8% picked Sturm Graz, 8% a draw, and 85% Rennes. The consensus pick was Rennes; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Sturm Graz 3.62 · Draw 3.97 · Rennes 1.91. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.