Sweden vs Poland AI Predictions — UEFA Nations League

League B - 2·28 Sep · 18:45 UTC·Strawberry Arena·✓ Completed
Sweden flagSweden
3–1
Poland flagPoland

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Sweden
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
2-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Sweden2.08
Draw3.62
Poland3.40

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
49%26%25%2-1✓ hit✗
54%25%21%2-1✓ hit✗
46%27%27%2-1✓ hit✗
47%26%27%2-1✓ hit✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
50%25%25%2-1✓ hit✗
45%30%25%2-1✓ hit✗
56%24%20%2-1✓ hit✗
50%25%25%2-1✓ hit✗
51%25%24%2-1✓ hit✗
48%25%27%2-1✓ hit✗
48%26%26%2-1✓ hit✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
49%26%25%2-1✓ hit✗
50%26%24%2-1✓ hit✗
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME2-1
H 49% · D 26% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 54% · D 25% · A 21%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 27% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 47% · D 26% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 25% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 56% · D 24% · A 20%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 25% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME2-1
H 51% · D 25% · A 24%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 25% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 26% · A 26%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 49% · D 26% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 26% · A 24%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Sweden vs Poland?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Sweden vs Poland in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Sweden vs Poland played?
The match kicked off 28 Sep · 18:45 UTC at Strawberry Arena. It is part of the UEFA Nations League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Nations League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Sweden vs Poland?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Sweden, and the match finished 3–1. 100% of 13 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Sweden vs Poland?
Of 13 models: 100% picked Sweden, 0% a draw, and 0% Poland. The consensus pick was Sweden; the most-backed exact score was 2-1.
What were the betting odds for Sweden vs Poland?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Sweden 2.08 · Draw 3.62 · Poland 3.40. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Sweden vs Poland?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.