Serbia vs Greece AI Predictions — UEFA Nations League

League A - 1·24 Sep · 18:45 UTC·Rajko Mitić Stadion·✓ Completed
Serbia flagSerbia
1–2
Greece flagGreece

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Serbia
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Serbia2.74
Draw3.38
Greece2.69

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

12 of 13 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
41%28%31%1-1✗ miss✗
44%28%28%2-1✗ miss✗
44%29%27%2-1✗ miss✗
38%27%35%1-1✗ miss✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
42%30%28%1-1✗ miss✗
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss✗
40%30%30%2-1✗ miss✗
39%30%31%1-1✗ miss✗
38%31%31%1-1✗ miss✗
42%28%30%2-1✗ miss✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
38%31%31%1-1✗ miss✗
44%29%27%1-1✗ miss✗
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 41% · D 28% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 28% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 44% · D 29% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 30% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 31% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME2-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 31% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 44% · D 29% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Serbia vs Greece?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Serbia vs Greece in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Serbia vs Greece played?
The match kicked off 24 Sep · 18:45 UTC at Rajko Mitić Stadion. It is part of the UEFA Nations League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Nations League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Serbia vs Greece?
No. The AI consensus picked Serbia, but the match finished 1–2 — Greece. 100% of 12 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Serbia vs Greece?
Of 12 models: 100% picked Serbia, 0% a draw, and 0% Greece. The consensus pick was Serbia; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Serbia vs Greece?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Serbia 2.74 · Draw 3.38 · Greece 2.69. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Serbia vs Greece?
13 models were locked into this fixture (12 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.