Lithuania vs Azerbaijan AI Predictions — UEFA Nations League

League D - 2·27 Sep · 13:00 UTC·Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas·✓ Completed
Lithuania flagLithuania
1–1
Azerbaijan flagAzerbaijan

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Lithuania
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-0
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Lithuania2.50
Draw2.96
Azerbaijan3.15

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
45%29%26%1-0✗ miss✗
44%30%26%1-0✗ miss✗
43%31%26%1-0✗ miss✗
47%28%25%1-0✗ miss✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
44%32%24%1-0✗ miss✗
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss✓
47%28%25%1-0✗ miss✗
48%27%25%1-0✗ miss✗
43%32%25%1-0✗ miss✗
45%28%27%1-0✗ miss✗
42%30%28%1-0✗ miss✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
48%28%24%1-0✗ miss✗
42%31%27%1-0✗ miss✗
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-0
H 45% · D 29% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-0
H 44% · D 30% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-0
H 43% · D 31% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-0
H 47% · D 28% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-0
H 44% · D 32% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✓ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-0
H 47% · D 28% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-0
H 48% · D 27% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-0
H 43% · D 32% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-0
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-0
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-0
H 48% · D 28% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-0
H 42% · D 31% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan in the UEFA Nations League (League D - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Lithuania vs Azerbaijan played?
The match kicked off 27 Sep · 13:00 UTC at Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas. It is part of the UEFA Nations League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Nations League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
No. The AI consensus picked Lithuania, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 100% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
Of 13 models: 100% picked Lithuania, 0% a draw, and 0% Azerbaijan. The consensus pick was Lithuania; the most-backed exact score was 1-0.
What were the betting odds for Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Lithuania 2.50 · Draw 2.96 · Azerbaijan 3.15. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.