Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland AI Predictions — UEFA Nations League

League B - 2·27 Sep · 18:45 UTC·Nagyerdei Stadion·✓ Completed

Israel

0–3

Rep. Of Ireland

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Model	Home %	Draw %	Away %	Predicted score	90-min result	Exact score
Claude Opus 5 i	35%	28%	37%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
DeepSeek V4 Pro i	30%	36%	34%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.7 Flash i	36%	31%	33%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Muse Spark 1.2 i	39%	27%	34%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
MiniMax M3 i	42%	29%	29%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Kimi K3 i	31%	26%	43%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Nemotron 3 Ultra i	38%	28%	34%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
GPT-5.6 Sol i	36%	30%	34%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Qwen3.7 Plus i	37%	30%	33%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Grok 4.5 i	28%	32%	40%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro i	33%	30%	37%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
GLM-5.2 i	36%	35%	29%	1-0	✗ miss	✗

Claude Opus 5 iAWAY1-1

H 35% · D 28% · A 37%✓ hit✗ exact

DeepSeek V4 Pro iDRAW1-1

H 30% · D 36% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.7 Flash iHOME1-1

H 36% · D 31% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact

Muse Spark 1.2 iHOME1-1

H 39% · D 27% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact

MiniMax M3 iHOME1-1

H 42% · D 29% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact

Kimi K3 iAWAY1-1

H 31% · D 26% · A 43%✓ hit✗ exact

Nemotron 3 Ultra iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact

GPT-5.6 Sol iHOME1-1

H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact

Qwen3.7 Plus iHOME1-1

H 37% · D 30% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact

Grok 4.5 iAWAY1-1

H 28% · D 32% · A 40%✓ hit✗ exact

MiMo v2.5-Pro iAWAY1-1

H 33% · D 30% · A 37%✓ hit✗ exact

GLM-5.2 iHOME1-0

H 36% · D 35% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.