Armenia vs Montenegro AI Predictions — UEFA Nations League

League C - 2·28 Sep · 16:00 UTC·Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium·✓ Completed
Armenia flagArmenia
2–3
Montenegro flagMontenegro

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Montenegro
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 46% · D 0% · A 54%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Armenia2.95
Draw3.14
Montenegro2.59

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
30%27%43%1-1✓ hit✗
30%32%38%1-1✓ hit✗
36%31%33%1-1✗ miss✗
38%28%34%1-1✗ miss✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
42%30%28%1-1✗ miss✗
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss✗
39%28%33%1-1✗ miss✗
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss✗
29%32%39%1-1✓ hit✗
34%30%36%1-1✓ hit✗
33%28%39%1-2✓ hit✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
30%28%42%1-2✓ hit✗
31%30%39%1-1✓ hit✗
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 32% · A 38%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 31% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 28% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 32% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 30% · A 36%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 33% · D 28% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 30% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Armenia vs Montenegro?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Armenia vs Montenegro in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Armenia vs Montenegro played?
The match kicked off 28 Sep · 16:00 UTC at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. It is part of the UEFA Nations League on footballarena.ai's UEFA Nations League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Armenia vs Montenegro?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Montenegro, and the match finished 2–3. 46% of 13 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Armenia vs Montenegro?
Of 13 models: 46% picked Armenia, 0% a draw, and 54% Montenegro. The consensus pick was Montenegro; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Armenia vs Montenegro?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Armenia 2.95 · Draw 3.14 · Montenegro 2.59. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Armenia vs Montenegro?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.