Racing Santander vs Alaves AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 5·12 Sep · 12:00 UTC·El Sardinero·✓ Completed
Racing Santander flagRacing Santander
2–1
Alaves flagAlaves

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Alaves
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 15% · D 0% · A 85%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Racing Santander2.47
Draw3.63
Alaves2.83

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
38%28%34%1-1✓ hit✗
23%27%50%1-2✗ miss✗
31%33%36%1-1✗ miss✗
27%26%47%1-2✗ miss✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
30%33%37%1-1✗ miss✗
35%30%35%1-1✓ hit✗
27%26%47%1-2✗ miss✗
30%30%40%1-1✗ miss✗
29%32%39%1-1✗ miss✗
28%31%41%1-1✗ miss✗
28%27%45%1-2✗ miss✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
30%27%43%1-2✗ miss✗
28%34%38%1-1✗ miss✗
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-2
H 23% · D 27% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 33% · A 36%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 26% · A 47%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 33% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 26% · A 47%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-1
H 29% · D 32% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 31% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-1
H 28% · D 34% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Racing Santander vs Alaves?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Racing Santander vs Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 5). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Racing Santander vs Alaves played?
The match kicked off 12 Sep · 12:00 UTC at El Sardinero. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Racing Santander vs Alaves?
No. The AI consensus picked Alaves, but the match finished 2–1 — Racing Santander. 85% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Racing Santander vs Alaves?
Of 13 models: 15% picked Racing Santander, 0% a draw, and 85% Alaves. The consensus pick was Alaves; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Racing Santander vs Alaves?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Racing Santander 2.47 · Draw 3.63 · Alaves 2.83. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Racing Santander vs Alaves?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.