Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano AI Predictions — La Liga

Regular Season - 7·19 Sep · 12:00 UTC·Estadio El Sadar·✓ Completed
Osasuna flagOsasuna
1–1
Rayo Vallecano flagRayo Vallecano

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Osasuna
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 67% · D 0% · A 33%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Osasuna2.46
Draw3.31
Rayo Vallecano3.09

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

12 of 13 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
36%27%37%1-1✗ miss✓
36%31%33%1-1✗ miss✓
42%31%27%1-1✗ miss✓
43%27%30%1-0✗ miss✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
43%29%28%2-1✗ miss✗
44%27%29%1-0✗ miss✗
42%28%30%1-1✗ miss✓
41%30%29%1-1✗ miss✓
35%28%37%1-1✗ miss✓
34%30%36%1-1✗ miss✓
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
37%28%35%1-1✗ miss✓
32%33%35%1-1✗ miss✓
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 36% · D 27% · A 37%✗ miss✓ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 31% · A 33%✗ miss✓ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 31% · A 27%✗ miss✓ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-0
H 43% · D 27% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME2-1
H 43% · D 29% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-0
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✓ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 41% · D 30% · A 29%✗ miss✓ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 35% · D 28% · A 37%✗ miss✓ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 30% · A 36%✗ miss✓ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 28% · A 35%✗ miss✓ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 33% · A 35%✗ miss✓ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (Regular Season - 7). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano played?
The match kicked off 19 Sep · 12:00 UTC at Estadio El Sadar. It is part of the La Liga on footballarena.ai's La Liga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
No. The AI consensus picked Osasuna, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 67% of 12 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Of 12 models: 67% picked Osasuna, 0% a draw, and 33% Rayo Vallecano. The consensus pick was Osasuna; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Osasuna 2.46 · Draw 3.31 · Rayo Vallecano 3.09. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
13 models were locked into this fixture (12 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.