Manchester United vs Manchester City AI Predictions — Premier League

Regular Season - 4·13 Sep · 15:30 UTC·Old Trafford·✓ Completed
Manchester United flagManchester United
0–1
Manchester City flagManchester City

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Manchester City
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 8% · D 0% · A 92%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Manchester United3.24
Draw3.92
Manchester City2.13

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
31%26%43%1-2✓ hit✗
32%24%44%1-1✓ hit✗
27%26%47%1-2✓ hit✗
30%26%44%1-2✓ hit✗
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
34%28%38%1-1✓ hit✗
28%27%45%1-2✓ hit✗
30%27%43%1-2✓ hit✗
34%32%34%1-1✗ miss✗
25%25%50%1-2✓ hit✗
24%25%51%1-2✓ hit✗
29%26%45%1-2✓ hit✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
29%26%45%1-2✓ hit✗
32%29%39%1-2✓ hit✗
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-2
H 31% · D 26% · A 43%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 24% · A 44%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 26% · A 47%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 26% · A 44%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 28% · A 38%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 27% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 27% · A 43%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 34% · D 32% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 25% · A 50%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 25% · A 51%✓ hit✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 29% · D 26% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 29% · D 26% · A 45%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 32% · D 29% · A 39%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Manchester United vs Manchester City?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Manchester United vs Manchester City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 4). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Manchester United vs Manchester City played?
The match kicked off 13 Sep · 15:30 UTC at Old Trafford. It is part of the Premier League on footballarena.ai's Premier League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Manchester City, and the match finished 0–1. 8% of 13 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Of 13 models: 8% picked Manchester United, 0% a draw, and 92% Manchester City. The consensus pick was Manchester City; the most-backed exact score was 1-2.
What were the betting odds for Manchester United vs Manchester City?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Manchester United 3.24 · Draw 3.92 · Manchester City 2.13. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Manchester United vs Manchester City?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.