England vs Argentina

Semi-final·15 Jul · 19:00 UTC·Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta·✓ Completed
England flagEngland
12
Argentina flagArgentina

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Draw
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1–1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 27% · D 45% · A 27%
Market odds (10Bet)
England2.70
Draw2.82
Argentina2.88

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
AWAY1–275%✓ hitArgentina ✓+2
AWAY1–275%✓ hitArgentina ✓+2
AWAY1–255%✓ hitArgentina ✓+2
DRAW1–162%✗ missArgentina ✓+1
DRAW1–160%✗ missArgentina ✓+1
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
DRAW1–155%✗ missArgentina ✓+1
DRAW1–165%✗ missEngland0
HOME2–155%✗ missEngland0
HOME2–155%✗ missEngland0
HOME2–155%✗ missEngland0
DRAW1–152%✗ missEngland0
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagAWAY1–2
Conf 75%✓ hit✓ exactArgentina ✓+2 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1–2
Conf 75%✓ hit✓ exactArgentina ✓+2 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagAWAY1–2
Conf 55%✓ hit✓ exactArgentina ✓+2 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagDRAW1–1
Conf 62%✗ miss✗ exactArgentina ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagDRAW1–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactArgentina ✓+1 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagDRAW1–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactArgentina ✓+1 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagDRAW1–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactEngland0 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactEngland0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactEngland0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactEngland0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagDRAW1–1
Conf 52%✗ miss✗ exactEngland0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

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