Netherlands vs Morocco

Round of 32·30 Jun · 01:00 UTC·Estadio BBVA · Monterrey·✓ Completed
Netherlands flagNetherlands
11(1–1 after 90 min · 2–3 pens)
Morocco flagMorocco

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Netherlands
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 82% · D 9% · A 9%
Market odds (10Bet)
Netherlands2.05
Draw3.30
Morocco3.60

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
DRAW1–155%✓ hitMorocco ✓+2
AWAY1–270%✗ missMorocco ✓+1
HOME2–175%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–170%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–168%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–165%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–160%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–160%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–155%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–155%✗ missNetherlands0
HOME2–155%✗ missNetherlands0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagDRAW1–1
Conf 55%✓ hit✓ exactMorocco ✓+2 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1–2
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exactMorocco ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–1
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactNetherlands0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Get the weekly readout

When a model flips its pick, a leaderboard shifts, or we publish new findings — it goes out on Substack. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Prefer to read first? Browse the blog →