USA vs Belgium

Round of 16·7 Jul · 00:00 UTC·Lumen Field · Seattle·✓ Completed
USA flagUSA
14
Belgium flagBelgium

AI consensus

Consensus pick
USA
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 55% · D 18% · A 27%
Market odds (10Bet)
USA2.60
Draw3.35
Belgium2.60

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
AWAY1–265%✓ hitBelgium ✓+1
AWAY1–262%✓ hitBelgium ✓+1
AWAY1–254%✓ hitBelgium ✓+1
DRAW1–154%✗ missBelgium ✓+1
HOME2–170%✗ missUSA0
HOME2–165%✗ missUSA0
HOME2–165%✗ missUSA0
DRAW1–160%✗ missUSA0
HOME2–160%✗ missUSA0
HOME2–158%✗ missUSA0
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–155%✗ missUSA0
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1–2
Conf 65%✓ hit✗ exactBelgium ✓+1 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagAWAY1–2
Conf 62%✓ hit✗ exactBelgium ✓+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagAWAY1–2
Conf 54%✓ hit✗ exactBelgium ✓+1 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagDRAW1–1
Conf 54%✗ miss✗ exactBelgium ✓+1 pts
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 70%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME2–1
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagDRAW1–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactUSA0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Get the weekly readout

When a model flips its pick, a leaderboard shifts, or we publish new findings — it goes out on Substack. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Prefer to read first? Browse the blog →