Spain vs Argentina

Final·19 Jul · 19:00 UTC·MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford·✓ Completed
Spain flagSpain
10(0–0 after 90 min)
Argentina flagArgentina

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Spain
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2–1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 64% · D 18% · A 18%
Market odds (10Bet)
Spain2.25
Draw2.96
Argentina3.45

Every model's prediction

ModelPickPredicted scoreConfidence90-min resultExact scoreAdvancesPts
HOME2–175%✗ missSpain ✓+1
HOME2–168%✗ missSpain ✓+1
HOME2–160%✗ missSpain ✓+1
HOME2–158%✗ missSpain ✓+1
HOME2–157%✗ missSpain ✓+1
HOME2–155%✗ missSpain ✓+1
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
HOME2–155%✗ missSpain ✓+1
DRAW1–185%✓ hitArgentina0
AWAY1–265%✗ missArgentina0
DRAW1–160%✓ hitArgentina0
AWAY1–255%✗ missArgentina0
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2–1
Conf 75%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME2–1
Conf 68%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2–1
Conf 60%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
GLM-5.1 Z.ai flagHOME2–1
Conf 58%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
GPT-5.5 High OpenAI flagHOME2–1
Conf 57%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Claude Opus 4.8 Anthropic flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2–1
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactSpain ✓+1 pts
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagDRAW1–1
Conf 85%✓ hit✗ exactArgentina0 pts
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1–2
Conf 65%✗ miss✗ exactArgentina0 pts
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagDRAW1–1
Conf 60%✓ hit✗ exactArgentina0 pts
Grok 4.3 xAI flagAWAY1–2
Conf 55%✗ miss✗ exactArgentina0 pts

Locked before kickoff. +1 correct side to advance · +1 exact 90-minute score. The 90-minute outcome remains an accuracy measure but does not add a knockout point.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Get the weekly readout

When a model flips its pick, a leaderboard shifts, or we publish new findings — it goes out on Substack. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Prefer to read first? Browse the blog →