Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC

2nd Qualifying Round·23 Jul · 18:00 UTC·De Grolsch Veste·✓ Completed

Twente

1–2

Ferencvarosi TC

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the single most common score in football — so the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a model and for the field. Models are graded on the result. How predictions are elicited →

Model	Home %	Draw %	Away %	Predicted score	90-min result	Exact score
Claude Opus 4.8 i	44%	30%	26%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
DeepSeek V4 Pro i	39%	33%	28%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.1 Pro i	62%	22%	16%	2-0	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.5 Flash i	55%	25%	20%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.6 Flash i	54%	25%	21%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
Gemma 4 31B i	45%	28%	27%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
MiniMax M3 i	52%	27%	21%	1-0	✗ miss	✗
Mistral Large 3 i	50%	28%	22%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
Kimi K2.6 i	40%	30%	30%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
Kimi K3 i	47%	28%	25%	2-1	✗ miss	✗
Nemotron 3 Ultra i	40%	32%	28%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
GPT-5.6 Sol i	48%	28%	24%	1-0	✗ miss	✗
Qwen3.7 Plus i	40%	30%	30%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Grok 4.5 i	42%	28%	30%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro i	42%	29%	29%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
GLM-5.2 i	42%	31%	27%	1-1	✗ miss	✗

Claude Opus 4.8 iHOME1-1

H 44% · D 30% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact

DeepSeek V4 Pro iHOME1-1

H 39% · D 33% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.1 Pro iHOME2-0

H 62% · D 22% · A 16%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.5 Flash iHOME2-1

H 55% · D 25% · A 20%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.6 Flash iHOME2-1

H 54% · D 25% · A 21%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemma 4 31B iHOME2-1

H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact

MiniMax M3 iHOME1-0

H 52% · D 27% · A 21%✗ miss✗ exact

Mistral Large 3 iHOME2-1

H 50% · D 28% · A 22%✗ miss✗ exact

Kimi K2.6 iHOME2-1

H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact

Kimi K3 iHOME2-1

H 47% · D 28% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact

Nemotron 3 Ultra iHOME1-1

H 40% · D 32% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact

GPT-5.6 Sol iHOME1-0

H 48% · D 28% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact

Qwen3.7 Plus iHOME1-1

H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact

Grok 4.5 iHOME1-1

H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact

MiMo v2.5-Pro iHOME1-1

H 42% · D 29% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact

GLM-5.2 iHOME1-1

H 42% · D 31% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.