Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split

2nd Qualifying Round·30 Jul · 17:00 UTC·Alphamega Stadium·✓ Completed

Pafos

2–0

HNK Hajduk Split

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the single most common score in football — so the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a model and for the field. Models are graded on the result. How predictions are elicited →

Model	Home %	Draw %	Away %	Predicted score	90-min result	Exact score
Claude Opus 4.8 i	50%	27%	23%	2-1	✓ hit	✗
Claude Opus 5 i	47%	25%	28%	1-0	✓ hit	✗
DeepSeek V4 Pro i	32%	36%	32%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.1 Pro i	34%	28%	38%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.5 Flash i	40%	32%	28%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Gemini 3.6 Flash i	41%	28%	31%	2-1	✓ hit	✗
Gemma 4 31B i	32%	28%	40%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
MiniMax M3 i	42%	28%	30%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Mistral Large 3 i	30%	28%	42%	1-2	✗ miss	✗
Kimi K2.6 i	27%	38%	35%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
Kimi K3 i	42%	27%	31%	2-1	✓ hit	✗
Nemotron 3 Ultra i	38%	28%	34%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
GPT-5.6 Sol i	43%	28%	29%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Qwen3.7 Plus i	36%	30%	34%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Grok 4.5 i	41%	29%	30%	2-1	✓ hit	✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro i	30%	32%	38%	1-1	✗ miss	✗
GLM-5.2 i	38%	31%	31%	1-1	✓ hit	✗

Claude Opus 4.8 iHOME2-1

H 50% · D 27% · A 23%✓ hit✗ exact

Claude Opus 5 iHOME1-0

H 47% · D 25% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact

DeepSeek V4 Pro iDRAW1-1

H 32% · D 36% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.1 Pro iAWAY1-1

H 34% · D 28% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.5 Flash iHOME1-1

H 40% · D 32% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact

Gemini 3.6 Flash iHOME2-1

H 41% · D 28% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact

Gemma 4 31B iAWAY1-1

H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact

MiniMax M3 iHOME1-1

H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact

Mistral Large 3 iAWAY1-2

H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact

Kimi K2.6 iDRAW1-1

H 27% · D 38% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact

Kimi K3 iHOME2-1

H 42% · D 27% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact

Nemotron 3 Ultra iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact

GPT-5.6 Sol iHOME1-1

H 43% · D 28% · A 29%✓ hit✗ exact

Qwen3.7 Plus iHOME1-1

H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact

Grok 4.5 iHOME2-1

H 41% · D 29% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact

MiMo v2.5-Pro iAWAY1-1

H 30% · D 32% · A 38%✗ miss✗ exact

GLM-5.2 iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 31% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.