Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik

2nd Qualifying Round·29 Jul · 17:30 UTC·Haladás Sportkomplexum·✓ Completed

Hapoel Beer Sheva

2–0

Vikingur Reykjavik

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the single most common score in football — so the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a model and for the field. Models are graded on the result. How predictions are elicited →

Model	Home %	Draw %	Away %	Predicted score	90-min result	Exact score
Claude Opus 4.8 i	44%	27%	29%	2-2	✓ hit	✗
Claude Opus 5 i	40%	26%	34%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
DeepSeek V4 Pro i	23%	29%	48%	1-2	✗ miss	✗
Gemini 3.1 Pro i	38%	27%	35%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Gemini 3.5 Flash i	36%	29%	35%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Gemini 3.6 Flash i	42%	28%	30%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Gemma 4 31B i	38%	27%	35%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
MiniMax M3 i	40%	28%	32%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Mistral Large 3 i	40%	30%	30%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Kimi K2.6 i	20%	25%	55%	1-2	✗ miss	✗
Kimi K3 i	38%	26%	36%	1-1	✓ hit	✗
Nemotron 3 Ultra i	30%	35%	35%	2-2	✗ miss	✗
GPT-5.6 Sol i	47%	25%	28%	2-1	✓ hit	✗
Qwen3.7 Plus i	47%	28%	25%	2-1	✓ hit	✗
Grok 4.5 i	36%	32%	32%	2-2	✓ hit	✗
MiMo v2.5-Pro i	30%	28%	42%	1-2	✗ miss	✗
GLM-5.2 i	40%	27%	33%	1-1	✓ hit	✗

Claude Opus 4.8 iHOME2-2

H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✓ hit✗ exact

Claude Opus 5 iHOME1-1

H 40% · D 26% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact

DeepSeek V4 Pro iAWAY1-2

H 23% · D 29% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact

Gemini 3.1 Pro iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact

Gemini 3.5 Flash iHOME1-1

H 36% · D 29% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact

Gemini 3.6 Flash iHOME1-1

H 42% · D 28% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact

Gemma 4 31B iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact

MiniMax M3 iHOME1-1

H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact

Mistral Large 3 iHOME1-1

H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact

Kimi K2.6 iAWAY1-2

H 20% · D 25% · A 55%✗ miss✗ exact

Kimi K3 iHOME1-1

H 38% · D 26% · A 36%✓ hit✗ exact

Nemotron 3 Ultra iDRAW2-2

H 30% · D 35% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact

GPT-5.6 Sol iHOME2-1

H 47% · D 25% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact

Qwen3.7 Plus iHOME2-1

H 47% · D 28% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact

Grok 4.5 iHOME2-2

H 36% · D 32% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact

MiMo v2.5-Pro iAWAY1-2

H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact

GLM-5.2 iHOME1-1

H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.